Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.077049 1.297094 1.530052 1.793194 2.080403 2.382760 2.723547
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.777647 1.077710 1.418589 1.826535 2.294236 2.807338 3.406757
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.606740 0.939417 1.337870 1.834116 2.421395 3.082120 3.870289
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.446910 0.786402 1.217374 1.776491 2.458868 3.244790 4.200105
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.328494 0.662946 1.113367 1.720680 2.482623 3.378110 4.483893
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.245262 0.571718 1.037986 1.689510 2.527090 3.528617 4.781680
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.197874 0.524635 1.015137 1.720219 2.643661 3.762095 5.174850
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.154204 0.473972 0.980646 1.730416 2.730604 3.957076 5.520421
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.110341 0.411377 0.920938 1.700398 2.761435 4.079935 5.776773
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.099703 0.410923 0.955060 1.800325 2.961486 4.412931 6.288715
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.090838 0.412102 0.990803 1.902174 3.164192 4.749780 6.806334
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.085183 0.419143 1.035551 2.016941 3.384443 5.109377 7.352908
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.075560 0.417528 1.070208 2.124547 3.605818 5.483919 7.935487
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.057923 0.390416 1.060152 2.166500 3.740202 5.750868 8.389481
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.040085 0.353612 1.028594 2.172966 3.823702 5.950883 8.758811
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021022 0.297128 0.954482 2.110118 3.808832 6.022671 8.967422
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008838 0.247319 0.884700 2.048275 3.791147 6.087677 9.164983
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002928 0.211114 0.835252 2.013918 3.808335 6.194921 9.412632
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001064 0.196375 0.828603 2.047820 3.922174 6.428847 9.820664
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000094 0.177182 0.809256 2.059093 4.002524 6.618134 10.171976
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.149468 0.765254 2.025929 4.016441 6.718024 10.408577
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.155675 0.804424 2.136225 4.241531 7.100755 11.008266
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.162167 0.844479 2.248388 4.469871 7.488490 11.615250